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llinois Sunshine Weekly Update: Massive Turnout Handed Trump an Illinios Win

ICPR’s Illinois Sunshine weekly update is mentioned in this article

via REBOOT Illinois

Weekly Update | April 7th

Total Contributions in 2016: $51,004,753
Total April Contributions: $548,885

Total Contributions this Week: $1,573,911
Number of Contributions this Week: 376

Total contribution figures include donations, transfers, in-kind contributions, loans, and other types of monetary exchanges between donors and PACs.

Republican Primary Wrap-Up
Massive Turnout Handed Trump an Illinois Win

Despite a lingering hope from the GOP establishment for a win in Illinois, Donald J. Trump swept the 2016 Illinois Primary Election with 38% of the Republican vote in a four-way race and an average vote share of 41%. A significant increase in Republican voter turnout accompanied his win this year, with vote totals up in 100 of 102 Illinois counties from the 2012 Primary Election. For comparison, only 59 counties saw an increase in Republican turnout from the 2008 Primary to 2012. The average increase in Republican votes from the 2012 Primary to present was 51% statewide.

Illinois Statewide Results

Trump won 39 of the 45 counties where there was more than a 60% increase in Republican votes cast from the 2012 Primary to present. In addition, Trump won all 29 counties that had over a 75% increase in Republican ballots cast from 2012 to 2016.

Cruz fared best where a majority of residents identify as members of the Church of Christ or other evangelical Christian organizations. Cruz won 18 of his total of 22 counties in this region. He also saw a very large margin of victory in McLean county, (42% of the GOP vote) where two significant Universities are located – Illinois State University and Illinois Wesleyan.

Trump won all 23 counties in southern Illinois that have a majority of residents who identify themselves as Southern Baptist. The closest race among these counties was in Jackson County, where SIU-Carbondale students likely helped tighten the race between Trump and Cruz to a margin of less than 3%.

Chicago Results

In Chicago, Trump saw much thinner margins of victory, and Kasich did quite well. If Rubio and Kasich voters had aligned, their combined 38.04% of the vote would have rivaled Trump’s overall 38.47% in the city. Despite protests and anti-Trump media buys, The Donald was still able to win the majority of Chicago wards. This was mostly due to a lack of Cruz support in Chicago, where he came in third after Trump and Kasich. In Chicago, Trump won 37 of 50 Wards, while Kasich won 12 and Cruz took only 1.

29 out of 50 Chicago wards saw GOP vote totals this year that were at least twice as high as the 2012 Primary. Of these 29 Wards, Trump won 21. In Wards 1-5, Kasich enjoyed 32-42% of the GOP vote, and turnout was exceptionally high. These Wards differ from each other, with Wards 1 and 2 having a majority of white residents (and including parts of River North and Gold Coast), and Wards 3-5 with over 60% African American population.

While Cruz was less successful in Chicago, his vote margin spread was the most consistent, with numbers ranging from 15-35% of the GOP vote. Kasich’s spread was the most extreme, and ranged from 3-47% in Chicago. Trump also saw a wide margin, with vote totals ranging from 21-58% of GOP voters.”

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